About This Market
Sharecbb-elon-wm-2026-02-14 : Sports event: Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe - cbb
Live prediction market odds for Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-14
This market resolved on 2026-02-14. Elon Phoenix was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
cbb-elon-wm-2026-02-14 : Sports event: Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe - cbb
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Elon PhoenixWINNER | — | 100% | 49% |
William & Mary Tribe | 100% | 5% | 59% |
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Elon Phoenix led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include William & Mary Tribe at 55%.
Elon Phoenix held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elon Phoenix, William & Mary Tribe at 55% were the next closest contenders. The 95.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Elon Phoenix: 100¢ on Polymarket, 49¢ on ProphetX. William & Mary Tribe: 100¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 59¢ on ProphetX. The 95.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Elon Phoenix would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Elon Phoenix
74.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf William & Mary wins the Elon at William & Mary men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Elon at William & Mary men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.