Live prediction market odds for Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. Florida St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-flst-nd-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Florida StWINNER | 99% | 100% | 82% |
Notre Dame | 1% | 5% | 24% |
Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Florida St led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Notre Dame at 10%.
Florida St held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Florida St, Notre Dame at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 23.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Florida St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 82¢ on ProphetX. Notre Dame: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 24¢ on ProphetX. The 23.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Florida St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Florida St
93.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Florida St. wins the Florida St. at Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Florida St. at Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
