Live prediction market odds for Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. Nevada was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
cbb-frest-nevada-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
NevadaWINNER | 99% | 86% | 89% |
Fresno St | 1% | 15% | 15% |
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Nevada led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Fresno St at 10%.
Nevada held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Nevada, Fresno St at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 14.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Nevada: 99¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket, 89¢ on ProphetX. Fresno St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket, 15¢ on ProphetX. The 14.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Nevada would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Nevada
91.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Nevada wins the Fresno St. at Nevada men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Fresno St. at Nevada men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
