About This Market
Sharecbb-haw-ark-2026-03-19 : Sports event: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks - cbb
Live prediction market odds for Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-19
This market resolved on 2026-03-19. Arkansas Razorbacks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
cbb-haw-ark-2026-03-19 : Sports event: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks - cbb
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Arkansas RazorbacksWINNER | 99% | 91% | 96% |
Hawai'i | 1% | 10% | — |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Arkansas Razorbacks led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Hawai'i at 5%.
Arkansas Razorbacks held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Arkansas Razorbacks, Hawai'i at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Arkansas Razorbacks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Hawai'i: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Arkansas Razorbacks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Hawai'i wins the Hawai'i at Arkansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Hawai'i at Arkansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Arkansas Razorbacks
95.2% avg