Live prediction market odds for Idaho Vandals vs. Montana State Bobcats. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-05
This market resolved on 2026-02-05. Montana St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
cbb-idaho-monst-2026-02-05 : Sports event: Idaho Vandals vs. Montana State Bobcats - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Montana StWINNER | 99% | 60% |
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana State Bobcats was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Montana St led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution.
Montana St held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. The 39.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Montana St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. The 39.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Montana St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Montana St
79.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Montana St. wins the Idaho at Montana St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Idaho at Montana St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
