Live prediction market odds for Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-26
This market resolved on 2026-03-26. Illinois was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars — Men's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
IllinoisWINNER | 99% | 43% | 98% |
Houston | 1% | 58% | 2% |
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Illinois led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Houston at 20%.
Illinois held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Illinois, Houston at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 56.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Illinois: 99¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Houston: 1¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 56.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Illinois would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Illinois
79.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Illinois wins the Illinois at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Illinois at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
