Live prediction market odds for Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. Michigan St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 63%.
cbb-ill-mst-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartans - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Michigan StWINNER | 99% | 52% | 63% |
Illinois | 1% | 48% | 45% |
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartans was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Michigan St led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Illinois at 31%.
Michigan St held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Michigan St, Illinois at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 47.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Michigan St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket, 63¢ on ProphetX. Illinois: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket, 45¢ on ProphetX. The 47.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Michigan St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Michigan St
71.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Illinois wins the Illinois at Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Illinois at Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
