Live prediction market odds for Illinois State Redbirds vs. Evansville Aces. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-09
This market resolved on 2026-02-09. Evansville was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.
cbb-illst-evans-2026-02-09 : Sports event: Illinois State Redbirds vs. Evansville Aces - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
EvansvilleWINNER | 99% | 16% | 83% |
Illinois St | 1% | 84% | 18% |
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Evansville Aces was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Evansville led the market at 66% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Illinois St at 34%.
Evansville held the lead at 66% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Evansville, Illinois St at 34% were the next closest contenders. The 83.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Evansville: 99¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket, 83¢ on ProphetX. Illinois St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket, 18¢ on ProphetX. The 83.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ meant the market estimated a 66% chance that Evansville would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 66¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 52% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Evansville
66.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Illinois St. wins the Illinois St. at Evansville men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Illinois St. at Evansville men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 9, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
