About This Market
Sharecbb-iona-siena-2026-02-05 : Sports event: Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints - cbb
Live prediction market odds for Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-05
This market resolved on 2026-02-05. Siena was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
cbb-iona-siena-2026-02-05 : Sports event: Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints - cbb
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
SienaWINNER | 99% | 77% |
Iona | 1% | 23% |
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Siena led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Iona at 12%.
Siena held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Siena, Iona at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 22.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Siena: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Iona: 1¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. The 22.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Siena would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Siena
88.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Siena wins the Iona at Siena men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Iona at Siena men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.