Live prediction market odds for Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-28
This market resolved on 2026-03-28. Illinois was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini — Men's College Basketball game held on 2026-03-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
IllinoisWINNER | 99% | 76% | 97% |
Iowa | 1% | 25% | 8% |
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Illinois led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Iowa at 11%.
Illinois held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Illinois, Iowa at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 23.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Illinois: 99¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Iowa: 1¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 23.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Illinois would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Illinois wins the Iowa at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Iowa at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 28 at 6:09 PM ET: If the Illinois Fighting Illini win, the market will resolve to "Illinois Fighting Illini". If the Iowa Hawkeyes win, the market will resolve to "Iowa Hawkeyes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Illinois
90.6% avg
