Live prediction market odds for Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Penn State Nittany Lions was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-iowa-pennst-2026-02-28 : Sports event: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Penn State Nittany LionsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 29% |
Iowa Hawkeyes | 100% | 0% | 80% |
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Penn State Nittany Lions led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Iowa Hawkeyes at 60%.
Penn State Nittany Lions held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Penn State Nittany Lions, Iowa Hawkeyes at 60% were the next closest contenders. The 100.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Penn State Nittany Lions: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 29¢ on ProphetX. Iowa Hawkeyes: 100¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket, 80¢ on ProphetX. The 100.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Penn State Nittany Lions would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Penn State Nittany Lions
75.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Penn St. wins the Iowa at Penn St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Iowa at Penn St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
