Live prediction market odds for Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-22
This market resolved on 2026-03-22. Iowa St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
cbb-uk-isu-2026-03-22 : Sports event: Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Iowa StWINNER | 99% | 71% | 98% |
Kentucky | 1% | 30% | 6% |
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Iowa St led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Kentucky at 12%.
Iowa St held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Iowa St, Kentucky at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Iowa St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Kentucky: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Iowa St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Kentucky wins the Kentucky at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Kentucky at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 22 at 12:00 AM ET: If the Kentucky Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Kentucky Wildcats". If the Iowa State Cyclones win, the market will resolve to "Iowa State Cyclones". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Iowa St
89.2% avg
