Live prediction market odds for Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriots. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-17
This market resolved on 2026-03-17. Liberty was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 52%.
cbb-lib-gmu-2026-03-17 : Sports event: Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriots - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
LibertyWINNER | 99% | 38% | 52% |
George Mason | 1% | 63% | 50% |
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriots was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Liberty led the market at 63% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include George Mason at 38%.
Liberty held the lead at 63% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Liberty, George Mason at 38% were the next closest contenders. The 61.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Liberty: 99¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket, 52¢ on ProphetX. George Mason: 1¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket, 50¢ on ProphetX. The 61.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 63¢ meant the market estimated a 63% chance that Liberty would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 63¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 59% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Liberty wins the Liberty at George Mason men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Liberty at George Mason men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 17 at 6:00 PM ET: If the Liberty Flames win, the market will resolve to "Liberty Flames". If the George Mason Patriots win, the market will resolve to "George Mason Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Liberty
62.7% avg
