Live prediction market odds for Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-11
cbb-librty-nmxst-2026-02-11 : Sports event: Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies - cbb
Liberty leads the “Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies” event at 59.9% implied probability, followed by New Mexico St at 41.3%. A 12.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Liberty leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include New Mexico St at 41%.
Liberty currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Liberty, New Mexico St at 41% are the next closest contenders. The 12.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Liberty: 63¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket, 55¢ on ProphetX. New Mexico St: 37¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket, 49¢ on ProphetX. The 12.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Liberty will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Liberty
59.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Liberty wins the Liberty at New Mexico St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Liberty at New Mexico St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
