Live prediction market odds for Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-12
This market resolved on 2026-03-12. Miami (FL) was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.
cbb-lou-mia-2026-03-12 : Sports event: Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Miami (FL)WINNER | 99% | 47% | 92% |
Louisville | 1% | 54% | 13% |
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami (FL) led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Louisville at 23%.
Miami (FL) held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami (FL), Louisville at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 52.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami (FL): 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket, 92¢ on ProphetX. Louisville: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket, 13¢ on ProphetX. The 52.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Miami (FL) would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Miami (FL)
79.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami (FL) wins the Louisville at Miami (FL) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Louisville at Miami (FL) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
