Live prediction market odds for Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-23
This market resolved on 2026-02-23. North Carolina was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
cbb-lou-ncar-2026-02-23 : Sports event: Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
North CarolinaWINNER | 99% | 37% | 96% |
Louisville | 1% | 64% | 30% |
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). North Carolina led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Louisville at 31%.
North Carolina held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind North Carolina, Louisville at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 62.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: North Carolina: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Louisville: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket, 30¢ on ProphetX. The 62.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that North Carolina would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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North Carolina
77.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Louisville wins the Louisville at North Carolina men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Louisville at North Carolina men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 23, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
