Live prediction market odds for Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-17
cbb-lou-smu-2026-02-17 : Sports event: Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs - cbb
Louisville Cardinals leads the “Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs” event at 46.3% implied probability, followed by SMU Mustangs at 56.7%. A 59.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Louisville Cardinals leads at 46% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include SMU Mustangs at 57%.
Louisville Cardinals currently leads at 46% implied probability. Behind Louisville Cardinals, SMU Mustangs at 57% are the next closest contenders. The 59.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Louisville Cardinals: 65¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. SMU Mustangs: 38¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. The 59.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 46¢ means the market estimates a 46% probability that Louisville Cardinals will be the outcome. Buying one share at 46¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 117% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Louisville Cardinals
46.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SMU wins the Louisville at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Louisville at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
