Live prediction market odds for Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-19
cbb-marsh-applst-2026-02-19 : Sports event: Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers - cbb
Appalachian State Mountaineers leads the “Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers” event at 58.3% implied probability, followed by Marshall Thundering Herd at 37.0%. A 28.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Appalachian State Mountaineers leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marshall Thundering Herd at 37%.
Appalachian State Mountaineers currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Appalachian State Mountaineers, Marshall Thundering Herd at 37% are the next closest contenders. The 28.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Appalachian State Mountaineers: 71¢ on Polymarket, 46¢ on ProphetX. Marshall Thundering Herd: 27¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket, 55¢ on ProphetX. The 28.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Appalachian State Mountaineers will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Appalachian State Mountaineers
58.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Marshall wins the Marshall at Appalachian St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Marshall at Appalachian St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
