Live prediction market odds for Mercer Bears vs. Samford Bulldogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. Samford was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
cbb-merc-samf-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Mercer Bears vs. Samford Bulldogs - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
SamfordWINNER | 99% | 95% | 52% |
Mercer | 1% | 6% | 51% |
Mercer Bears vs. Samford Bulldogs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Samford led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Mercer at 19%.
Samford held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Samford, Mercer at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Samford: 99¢ on Kalshi, 95¢ on Polymarket, 52¢ on ProphetX. Mercer: 1¢ on Kalshi, 6¢ on Polymarket, 51¢ on ProphetX. The 50.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Samford would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Samford
81.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Samford wins the Mercer at Samford men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Mercer at Samford men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
