Live prediction market odds for Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. Minnesota was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 59%.
cbb-mst-minnst-2026-02-04 : Sports event: Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
MinnesotaWINNER | 99% | 20% |
Michigan St | 1% | 81% |
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota led the market at 59% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Michigan St at 41%.
Minnesota held the lead at 59% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota, Michigan St at 41% were the next closest contenders. The 79.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota: 99¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. Michigan St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. The 79.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ meant the market estimated a 59% chance that Minnesota would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 59¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 69% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Minnesota
59.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Michigan St. wins the Michigan St. at Minnesota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Michigan St. at Minnesota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
