Live prediction market odds for Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-13
cbb-mst-wisc-2026-02-13 : Sports event: Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers - cbb
Michigan State Spartans leads the “Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers” event at 37.7% implied probability, followed by Wisconsin Badgers at 62.3%. A 54.9% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Michigan State Spartans leads at 38% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Wisconsin Badgers at 62%.
Michigan State Spartans currently leads at 38% implied probability. Behind Michigan State Spartans, Wisconsin Badgers at 62% are the next closest contenders. The 54.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Michigan State Spartans: 56¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket, 1¢ on ProphetX. Wisconsin Badgers: 44¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. The 54.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 38¢ means the market estimates a 38% probability that Michigan State Spartans will be the outcome. Buying one share at 38¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 163% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Michigan State Spartans
37.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Wisconsin wins the Michigan St. at Wisconsin men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Michigan St. at Wisconsin men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 13, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
