Live prediction market odds for Michigan Wolverines vs. Arizona Wildcats. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-04
This market resolved on 2026-04-04. Michigan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Arizona Wildcats — Men's College Basketball game held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
MichiganWINNER | 99% | 53% | 99% |
Arizona Wildcats | 1% | 48% | 15% |
Michigan Wolverines vs. Arizona Wildcats was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Michigan led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arizona Wildcats at 21%.
Michigan held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Michigan, Arizona Wildcats at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 46.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Michigan: 99¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Arizona Wildcats: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket, 15¢ on ProphetX. The 46.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that Michigan would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Michigan wins the Michigan at Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Michigan at Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Michigan
83.5% avg
