Live prediction market odds for Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-27
This market resolved on 2026-02-27. Michigan Wolverines was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 55%.
cbb-mich-ill-2026-02-27 : Sports event: Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Michigan WolverinesWINNER | 55% | 55% | 96% |
Illinois Fighting Illini | 47% | 46% | 18% |
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Michigan Wolverines led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Illinois Fighting Illini at 37%.
Michigan Wolverines held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Michigan Wolverines, Illinois Fighting Illini at 37% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Michigan Wolverines: 55¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Illinois Fighting Illini: 47¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket, 18¢ on ProphetX. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Michigan Wolverines would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Michigan Wolverines
68.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Michigan wins the Michigan at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Michigan at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 27, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
