About This Market
Sharecbb-minnst-ind-2026-03-04 : Sports event: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiers - cbb
Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-04
This market resolved on 2026-03-04. Indiana Hoosiers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
cbb-minnst-ind-2026-03-04 : Sports event: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiers - cbb
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Indiana HoosiersWINNER | 83% | 90% | 96% |
Minnesota Golden Gophers | 18% | 11% | 10% |
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Indiana Hoosiers led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Golden Gophers at 13%.
Indiana Hoosiers held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Indiana Hoosiers, Minnesota Golden Gophers at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 13.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Indiana Hoosiers: 83¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Minnesota Golden Gophers: 18¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 13.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Indiana Hoosiers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Indiana Hoosiers
89.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Indiana wins the Minnesota at Indiana men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Minnesota at Indiana men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.