Live prediction market odds for Missouri State Bears vs. Sam Houston Bearkats. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Sam Houston Bearkats was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
cbb-msrst-smho-2026-02-28 : Sports event: Missouri State Bears vs. Sam Houston Bearkats - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Sam Houston BearkatsWINNER | 98% | 97% | 95% |
Missouri State Bears | 3% | 4% | 11% |
Missouri State Bears vs. Sam Houston Bearkats was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Sam Houston Bearkats led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Missouri State Bears at 6%.
Sam Houston Bearkats held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sam Houston Bearkats, Missouri State Bears at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 8.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Sam Houston Bearkats: 98¢ on Kalshi, 97¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Missouri State Bears: 3¢ on Kalshi, 4¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 8.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that Sam Houston Bearkats would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Sam Houston Bearkats
96.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Missouri St. wins the Missouri St. at Sam Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Missouri St. at Sam Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
