Live prediction market odds for Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Fairfield Stags. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-01
This market resolved on 2026-03-01. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
cbb-mstm-fair-2026-03-01 : Sports event: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Fairfield Stags - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Mount St. Mary's MountaineersWINNER | — | 100% | 95% |
Fairfield Stags | 100% | 5% | 11% |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Fairfield Stags was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Fairfield Stags at 39%.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Fairfield Stags at 39% were the next closest contenders. The 95.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: 100¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Fairfield Stags: 100¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 95.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
97.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Fairfield wins the Mount St. Mary's at Fairfield men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Mount St. Mary's at Fairfield men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
