Live prediction market odds for Murray State Racers vs. Illinois State Redbirds. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-18
This market resolved on 2026-02-18. Illinois State Redbirds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 58%.
cbb-murst-illst-2026-02-18 : Sports event: Murray State Racers vs. Illinois State Redbirds - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Illinois State RedbirdsWINNER | 58% | 58% | 95% |
Murray State Racers | 43% | 42% | 11% |
Murray State Racers vs. Illinois State Redbirds was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Illinois State Redbirds led the market at 70% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Murray State Racers at 32%.
Illinois State Redbirds held the lead at 70% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Illinois State Redbirds, Murray State Racers at 32% were the next closest contenders. The 37.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Illinois State Redbirds: 58¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Murray State Racers: 43¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 37.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ meant the market estimated a 70% chance that Illinois State Redbirds would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 70¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 43% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Illinois State Redbirds
70.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Illinois St. wins the Murray St. at Illinois St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Murray St. at Illinois St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
