Live prediction market odds for Navy Midshipmen vs. Lafayette Leopards. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. Navy was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
cbb-navy-lafay-2026-02-04 : Sports event: Navy Midshipmen vs. Lafayette Leopards - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
NavyWINNER | 99% | 64% |
Navy Midshipmen vs. Lafayette Leopards was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Navy led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution.
Navy held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. The 35.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Navy: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. The 35.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Navy would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Navy
81.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Navy wins the Navy at Lafayette men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Navy at Lafayette men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
