Live prediction market odds for New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-02-21
cbb-nmx-frest-2026-02-21 : Sports event: New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs - cbb
New Mexico Lobos leads the “New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs” event at 78.8% implied probability, followed by Fresno State Bulldogs at 21.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Mexico Lobos leads at 79% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Fresno State Bulldogs at 22%.
New Mexico Lobos currently leads at 79% implied probability. Behind New Mexico Lobos, Fresno State Bulldogs at 22% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Mexico Lobos: 79¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Fresno State Bulldogs: 22¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 79¢ means the market estimates a 79% probability that New Mexico Lobos will be the outcome. Buying one share at 79¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 27% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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New Mexico Lobos
78.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Mexico wins the New Mexico at Fresno St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the New Mexico at Fresno St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
