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Sharecbb-nmxst-jaxst-2026-02-14 : Sports event: New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks - cbb
Live prediction market odds for New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-14
This market resolved on 2026-02-14. New Mexico State Aggies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
cbb-nmxst-jaxst-2026-02-14 : Sports event: New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks - cbb
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
New Mexico State AggiesWINNER | 98% | 99% | 46% |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks | — | 1% | 57% |
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New Mexico State Aggies led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jacksonville State Gamecocks at 29%.
New Mexico State Aggies held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Mexico State Aggies, Jacksonville State Gamecocks at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 55.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New Mexico State Aggies: 98¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket, 46¢ on ProphetX. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: 1¢ on Polymarket, 57¢ on ProphetX. The 55.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that New Mexico State Aggies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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New Mexico State Aggies
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Mexico St. wins the New Mexico St. at Jacksonville St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the New Mexico St. at Jacksonville St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.