Live prediction market odds for New Mexico State Aggies vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. New Mexico St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
cbb-nmxst-loutch-2026-02-04 : Sports event: New Mexico State Aggies vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New Mexico StWINNER | 99% | 47% |
Louisiana Tech | 1% | 53% |
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Mexico St led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Louisiana Tech at 27%.
New Mexico St held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Mexico St, Louisiana Tech at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 52.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Mexico St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. Louisiana Tech: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. The 52.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that New Mexico St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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New Mexico St
73.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Louisiana Tech wins the New Mexico St. at Louisiana Tech men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the New Mexico St. at Louisiana Tech men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
