Live prediction market odds for Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-20
This market resolved on 2026-02-20. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
cbb-niagra-mstm-2026-02-20 : Sports event: Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Mount St. Mary's MountaineersWINNER | — | 78% | 95% |
Niagara Purple Eagles | 24% | 23% | 11% |
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Niagara Purple Eagles at 19%.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Niagara Purple Eagles at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 17.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: 78¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Niagara Purple Eagles: 24¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 17.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
86.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Niagara wins the Niagara at Mount St. Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Niagara at Mount St. Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
