Live prediction market odds for North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Notre Dame Fighting Irish was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-ncst-nd-2026-02-28 : Sports event: North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Notre Dame Fighting IrishWINNER | 99% | 100% | 43% |
North Carolina State Wolfpack | 100% | 0% | 62% |
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Notre Dame Fighting Irish led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include North Carolina State Wolfpack at 54%.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Notre Dame Fighting Irish, North Carolina State Wolfpack at 54% were the next closest contenders. The 100.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 43¢ on ProphetX. North Carolina State Wolfpack: 100¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket, 62¢ on ProphetX. The 100.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Notre Dame Fighting Irish would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish
80.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Notre Dame wins the North Carolina St. at Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the North Carolina St. at Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
