Live prediction market odds for North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. North Carolina St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
cbb-ncst-smu-2026-02-03 : Sports event: North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangs - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
North Carolina StWINNER | 99% | 51% |
SMU | 1% | 50% |
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). North Carolina St led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include SMU at 25%.
North Carolina St held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind North Carolina St, SMU at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 48.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: North Carolina St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. SMU: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 48.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that North Carolina St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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North Carolina St
74.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf North Carolina St. wins the North Carolina St. at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the North Carolina St. at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
