Live prediction market odds for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-10
This market resolved on 2026-02-10. Miami (FL) was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
cbb-ncar-mia-2026-02-10 : Sports event: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Miami (FL)WINNER | 99% | 49% | 78% |
North Carolina | 1% | 51% | 31% |
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami (FL) led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include North Carolina at 28%.
Miami (FL) held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami (FL), North Carolina at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami (FL): 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket, 78¢ on ProphetX. North Carolina: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket, 31¢ on ProphetX. The 50.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Miami (FL) would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Miami (FL)
75.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami (FL) wins the North Carolina at Miami (FL) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the North Carolina at Miami (FL) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 10, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
