Live prediction market odds for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-17
This market resolved on 2026-02-17. North Carolina State Wolfpack was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
cbb-ncar-ncst-2026-02-17 : Sports event: North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
North Carolina State WolfpackWINNER | 77% | 76% | 98% |
North Carolina Tar Heels | 25% | 24% | 7% |
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). North Carolina State Wolfpack led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include North Carolina Tar Heels at 19%.
North Carolina State Wolfpack held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind North Carolina State Wolfpack, North Carolina Tar Heels at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 21.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: North Carolina State Wolfpack: 77¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. North Carolina Tar Heels: 25¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 21.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that North Carolina State Wolfpack would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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North Carolina State Wolfpack
83.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf North Carolina wins the North Carolina at North Carolina St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the North Carolina at North Carolina St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
