Live prediction market odds for North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-19
This market resolved on 2026-03-19. Michigan St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
cbb-ndsu-msu-2026-03-19 : Sports event: North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Michigan StWINNER | 99% | 93% | 98% |
North Dakota St | 1% | 8% | 6% |
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Michigan St led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include North Dakota St at 5%.
Michigan St held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Michigan St, North Dakota St at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Michigan St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. North Dakota St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 97¢ meant the market estimated a 97% chance that Michigan St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 97¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 3% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Michigan St
96.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and ProphetX.
KalshiIf North Dakota St. wins the North Dakota St. at Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the North Dakota St. at Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
