Live prediction market odds for Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-02
This market resolved on 2026-03-02. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
cbb-nwst-utrgv-2026-03-02 : Sports event: Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Texas-Rio Grande Valley VaquerosWINNER | — | 84% | 95% |
Northwestern State Demons | 19% | 17% | 10% |
Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Northwestern State Demons at 15%.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, Northwestern State Demons at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 11.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: 84¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Northwestern State Demons: 19¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 11.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
89.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Northwestern St. wins the Northwestern St. at UT Rio Grande Valley men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Northwestern St. at UT Rio Grande Valley men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 2, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
