Live prediction market odds for Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. SMU Mustangs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-10
This market resolved on 2026-02-10. SMU was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
cbb-nd-smu-2026-02-10 : Sports event: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. SMU Mustangs - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
SMUWINNER | 99% | 85% | 83% |
Notre Dame | 1% | 15% | 23% |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. SMU Mustangs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). SMU led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Notre Dame at 13%.
SMU held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind SMU, Notre Dame at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 22.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: SMU: 99¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket, 83¢ on ProphetX. Notre Dame: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket, 23¢ on ProphetX. The 22.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that SMU would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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SMU
89.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SMU wins the Notre Dame at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Notre Dame at SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 10, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
