Live prediction market odds for Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-11
This market resolved on 2026-03-11. TCU was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 85%.
cbb-okst-tcu-2026-03-11 : Sports event: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
TCUWINNER | 99% | 70% | 85% |
Oklahoma St | 1% | 31% | 34% |
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TCU led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma St at 22%.
TCU held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TCU, Oklahoma St at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 32.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TCU: 99¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 85¢ on ProphetX. Oklahoma St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket, 34¢ on ProphetX. The 32.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that TCU would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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TCU
84.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma St. wins the Oklahoma St. at TCU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Oklahoma St. at TCU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
