Live prediction market odds for Oregon Ducks vs. Illinois Fighting Illini. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-03
This market resolved on 2026-03-03. Illinois Fighting Illini was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
cbb-ore-ill-2026-03-03 : Sports event: Oregon Ducks vs. Illinois Fighting Illini - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Illinois Fighting IlliniWINNER | 96% | 96% | 96% |
Oregon Ducks | 6% | 5% | 40% |
Oregon Ducks vs. Illinois Fighting Illini was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Illinois Fighting Illini led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oregon Ducks at 17%.
Illinois Fighting Illini held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Illinois Fighting Illini, Oregon Ducks at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 35.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Illinois Fighting Illini: 96¢ on Kalshi, 96¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. Oregon Ducks: 6¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 40¢ on ProphetX. The 35.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that Illinois Fighting Illini would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Illinois Fighting Illini
95.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Illinois wins the Oregon at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Oregon at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
