Live prediction market odds for Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-21
This market resolved on 2026-02-21. Oregon Ducks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-ore-usc-2026-02-21 : Sports event: Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Oregon DucksWINNER | 99% | 100% | 23% |
USC Trojans | 100% | 5% | 86% |
Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oregon Ducks led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include USC Trojans at 64%.
Oregon Ducks held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oregon Ducks, USC Trojans at 64% were the next closest contenders. The 95.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oregon Ducks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 23¢ on ProphetX. USC Trojans: 100¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 86¢ on ProphetX. The 95.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Oregon Ducks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Oregon Ducks
74.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf USC wins the Oregon at USC men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Oregon at USC men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
