Live prediction market odds for Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-05
This market resolved on 2026-02-05. Michigan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-pennst-mich-2026-02-05 : Sports event: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
MichiganWINNER | 99% | 99% |
Penn St | 1% | 1% |
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Michigan led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Penn St at 1%.
Michigan held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Michigan, Penn St at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.1% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Michigan: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket. Penn St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.1% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Michigan would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Michigan
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Michigan wins the Penn St. at Michigan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Penn St. at Michigan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
