Live prediction market odds for Pennsylvania Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-19
This market resolved on 2026-03-19. Illinois was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
cbb-penn-ill-2026-03-19 : Sports event: Pennsylvania Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
IllinoisWINNER | 99% | 97% | 98% |
Penn | 1% | 3% | — |
Pennsylvania Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Illinois led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Penn at 2%.
Illinois held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Illinois, Penn at 2% were the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Illinois: 99¢ on Kalshi, 97¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Penn: 1¢ on Kalshi, 3¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread showed moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that Illinois would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Illinois wins the Penn at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Penn at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Illinois
98.0% avg
