Live prediction market odds for Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-18
This market resolved on 2026-03-18. New Mexico was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
cbb-shsu-unm-2026-03-18 : Sports event: Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New MexicoWINNER | 99% | 88% | 98% |
Sam Houston | 1% | 13% | 7% |
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New Mexico led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sam Houston at 7%.
New Mexico held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Mexico, Sam Houston at 7% were the next closest contenders. The 11.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New Mexico: 99¢ on Kalshi, 88¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Sam Houston: 1¢ on Kalshi, 13¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 11.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that New Mexico would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New Mexico wins the Sam Houston at New Mexico men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Sam Houston at New Mexico men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 18 at 9:00 PM ET: If the Sam Houston Bearkats win, the market will resolve to "Sam Houston Bearkats". If the New Mexico Lobos win, the market will resolve to "New Mexico Lobos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
New Mexico
94.8% avg
