Live prediction market odds for San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. New Mexico Lobos was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
cbb-sdst-nmx-2026-02-28 : Sports event: San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New Mexico LobosWINNER | 99% | 100% |
San Diego State Aztecs | 100% | 0% |
San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Mexico Lobos led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Diego State Aztecs at 50%.
New Mexico Lobos held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Mexico Lobos, San Diego State Aztecs at 50% were the next closest contenders. The 100.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Mexico Lobos: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. San Diego State Aztecs: 100¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. The 100.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that New Mexico Lobos would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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New Mexico Lobos
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Mexico wins the San Diego St. at New Mexico men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the San Diego St. at New Mexico men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
