Live prediction market odds for San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-10
This market resolved on 2026-02-10. UNLV was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
cbb-sjst-unlv-2026-02-10 : Sports event: San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
UNLVWINNER | 99% | 88% | 84% |
San Jose St | 1% | 13% | 17% |
San Jose State Spartans vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). UNLV led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Jose St at 10%.
UNLV held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind UNLV, San Jose St at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 16.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: UNLV: 99¢ on Kalshi, 88¢ on Polymarket, 84¢ on ProphetX. San Jose St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 13¢ on Polymarket, 17¢ on ProphetX. The 16.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that UNLV would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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UNLV
90.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UNLV wins the San Jose St. at UNLV men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the San Jose St. at UNLV men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 10, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
