Live prediction market odds for Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-25
This market resolved on 2026-02-25. Saint Mary's Gaels was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
cbb-sanclr-stmry-2026-02-25 : Sports event: Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Saint Mary's GaelsWINNER | 70% | 70% | 98% |
Santa Clara Broncos | 30% | 31% | 7% |
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Saint Mary's Gaels led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Santa Clara Broncos at 22%.
Saint Mary's Gaels held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Saint Mary's Gaels, Santa Clara Broncos at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 28.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Saint Mary's Gaels: 70¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Santa Clara Broncos: 30¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 28.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Saint Mary's Gaels would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Saint Mary's Gaels
79.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Saint Mary's wins the Santa Clara at Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Santa Clara at Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
