Live prediction market odds for Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-20
cbb-siena-merri-2026-02-20 : Sports event: Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors - cbb
Merrimack College Warriors leads the “Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors” event at 71.0% implied probability, followed by Siena Saints at 35.6%. A 28.9% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Merrimack College Warriors leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Siena Saints at 36%.
Merrimack College Warriors currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Merrimack College Warriors, Siena Saints at 36% are the next closest contenders. The 28.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Merrimack College Warriors: 57¢ on Polymarket, 85¢ on ProphetX. Siena Saints: 43¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket, 20¢ on ProphetX. The 28.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Merrimack College Warriors will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Merrimack College Warriors
71.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Siena wins the Siena at Merrimack men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Siena at Merrimack men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
