Live prediction market odds for SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-25
cbb-smu-cah-2026-02-25 : Sports event: SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bears - cbb
SMU Mustangs leads the “SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bears” event at 56.5% implied probability, followed by California Golden Bears at 44.4%. A 23.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bears is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). SMU Mustangs leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include California Golden Bears at 44%.
SMU Mustangs currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind SMU Mustangs, California Golden Bears at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 23.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: SMU Mustangs: 63¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket, 43¢ on ProphetX. California Golden Bears: 38¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket, 59¢ on ProphetX. The 23.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that SMU Mustangs will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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SMU Mustangs
56.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf California wins the SMU at California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the SMU at California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
